Back to the atlasFIELD 06 / 07

Quantitative finance & markets

Quantitative finance.

Execution, statistical arbitrage, market mechanisms, and research that makes its assumptions visible.

12 PROJECT FAMILIESEXPLORE BELOW ↓
06 / Two sides. One uncertain future.STUDY IN SPACE

There is a world inside the spread.

The work in this world.

ORDERED BY DEPTH & EVIDENCE
  1. 01

    Prediction-market execution systems

    Order reconciliation, execution controls, queue-aware research, and an independently packaged refactor of a prediction-market system.

    Built systemPython · Reconciliation · Event-driven systems · Offline testing

    START HEREThe strongest execution-systems evidence: explicit order lifecycles, failure handling, and independent verification records.

  2. 02

    Statistical arbitrage & module discovery

    Graph-conditioned residuals, pair selection, and a constrained search harness for testing alternative research modules.

    Built systemPython · Graphs · VECM · Statistical arbitrage
  3. 03

    Options & variance-risk-premium research

    Options research and execution tooling spanning implied-versus-realized volatility, short-strangle protocols, and an earnings-event variance decomposition study.

    Built systemPython · IBKR API · Options pricing · Variance decomposition
  4. 04

    LPPLS market-state research and interactive cockpits

    LPPLS bubble detection, an inspectable research cockpit, and related market-mechanism studies with frozen-history checks and rollback controls.

    Built systemPython · LPPLS · FastAPI · Purged cross-validation
  5. 05

    Zero Human Hedge — paper research operations

    An integrated paper-research stack connecting a minute-data lab, portfolio optimizer, Nautilus parity backtest, observability and an agent control room.

    Built systemPython · DuckDB · NautilusTrader · Paperclip
  6. 06

    World Cup announcer-mention modeling

    A distinct event-market study combining broadcaster transcripts, settlement labels, crew effects and mention-time approximations.

    Study / experimentPython · NLP corpora · Empirical Bayes · Beta-binomial models
  7. 07

    A-share factor replication and evaluation

    Asset-pricing factor replication, index-enhancement experiments, and related upstream data infrastructure.

    AdaptationPython · Tushare · Asset pricing · Factor models
  8. 08

    A-share reversal with executable constraints

    A short-horizon reversal system with clustering, market-specific tradeability, portfolio construction and futures hedging.

    Built systemPython · Clustering · Mean reversion · Portfolio optimization
  9. 09

    Market-signal ingestion and replay

    A multi-source signal-ingestion, replay and alerting layer for prediction-market research.

    Built systemPython · httpx · WebSockets · REST APIs
  10. 10

    Technical-indicator evaluation workbench

    A repeatable multi-fold evaluation and dashboard system for technical signals on US minute bars.

    Built systemPython · pandas · NumPy · Streamlit
  11. 11

    A-share event, flow and intervention studies

    Studies of market bottoms, public flow disclosures, IPOs, and observable policy-support signals, with rejected hypotheses retained.

    Study / experimentPython · Event studies · Tushare · Time-series analysis
  12. 12

    Trading literature and falsification notebooks

    Research notes that turn trading literature and informal claims into testable rules, experiment plans, and critical assessments.

    Study / experimentLiterature synthesis · Experiment design · Falsification · Quantitative research