Quantitative finance & markets
Quantitative finance.
Execution, statistical arbitrage, market mechanisms, and research that makes its assumptions visible.
There is a world inside the spread.
The work in this world.
ORDERED BY DEPTH & EVIDENCE- 01
Prediction-market execution systems
Order reconciliation, execution controls, queue-aware research, and an independently packaged refactor of a prediction-market system.
START HEREThe strongest execution-systems evidence: explicit order lifecycles, failure handling, and independent verification records.
- 02
Statistical arbitrage & module discovery
Graph-conditioned residuals, pair selection, and a constrained search harness for testing alternative research modules.
- 03
Options & variance-risk-premium research
Options research and execution tooling spanning implied-versus-realized volatility, short-strangle protocols, and an earnings-event variance decomposition study.
- 04
LPPLS market-state research and interactive cockpits
LPPLS bubble detection, an inspectable research cockpit, and related market-mechanism studies with frozen-history checks and rollback controls.
- 05
Zero Human Hedge — paper research operations
An integrated paper-research stack connecting a minute-data lab, portfolio optimizer, Nautilus parity backtest, observability and an agent control room.
- 06
World Cup announcer-mention modeling
A distinct event-market study combining broadcaster transcripts, settlement labels, crew effects and mention-time approximations.
- 07
A-share factor replication and evaluation
Asset-pricing factor replication, index-enhancement experiments, and related upstream data infrastructure.
- 08
A-share reversal with executable constraints
A short-horizon reversal system with clustering, market-specific tradeability, portfolio construction and futures hedging.
- 09
Market-signal ingestion and replay
A multi-source signal-ingestion, replay and alerting layer for prediction-market research.
- 10
Technical-indicator evaluation workbench
A repeatable multi-fold evaluation and dashboard system for technical signals on US minute bars.
- 11
A-share event, flow and intervention studies
Studies of market bottoms, public flow disclosures, IPOs, and observable policy-support signals, with rejected hypotheses retained.
- 12
Trading literature and falsification notebooks
Research notes that turn trading literature and informal claims into testable rules, experiment plans, and critical assessments.
A DIFFERENT DIMENSION